Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 1084.901249 1235.897612 1405.923601 1612.656489 1858.694546 2143.966537 2502.412405
2025-05-18 879.746023 1081.452873 1331.684208 1669.644911 2121.530179 2715.730392 3574.790281
2025-05-25 770.190563 993.720106 1288.950860 1716.739791 2336.904588 3230.074059 4666.411629
2025-06-01 685.756201 918.450141 1241.201933 1735.965493 2502.572673 3695.334265 5802.353454
2025-06-08 617.593012 852.796269 1192.481202 1738.502459 2634.455221 4127.124717 7000.832003
2025-06-15 572.698523 813.033997 1173.223008 1778.394489 2827.102192 4694.801262 8616.289896
2025-06-22 513.380756 744.015761 1099.396951 1716.939135 2833.292600 4929.298761 9652.689420
2025-06-29 465.145889 686.528986 1036.189393 1662.510854 2839.362304 5160.397920 10756.835896
2025-07-06 422.318076 633.193479 973.462101 1599.368124 2816.467888 5325.845182 11766.726701
2025-07-13 407.494630 623.357343 981.381137 1663.077325 3049.965716 6085.119678 14578.039766
2025-07-20 387.443729 602.776397 968.325891 1685.238363 3202.262519 6702.675505 17302.925758
2025-07-27 368.551188 582.337865 953.137220 1700.682268 3342.458160 7328.971498 20385.975948
2025-08-03 349.316894 560.252117 933.794312 1707.479676 3470.525443 7977.965559 23996.691312
2025-08-10 338.919981 552.893665 940.940775 1770.167039 3743.385845 9109.419976 30208.328666
2025-08-17 327.840009 543.204482 942.424714 1820.703592 3997.972982 10282.873245 37632.053186
2025-08-24 314.304969 527.807880 931.159702 1841.404897 4181.394814 11310.987793 45435.162661
2025-08-31 300.053775 509.905935 913.122966 1844.134408 4318.002453 12242.966682 53804.655267
2025-09-07 290.944386 501.021631 912.384006 1887.079225 4576.897116 13712.438015 67226.579514
2025-09-14 272.364070 472.509414 868.603966 1820.928520 4506.396510 13941.966931 73002.531318
2025-09-21 255.985769 447.270363 829.725315 1762.377730 4448.507997 14208.720466 79549.502493
2025-09-28 240.055735 421.974871 788.880361 1694.495863 4350.521028 14287.100051 84906.045396
2025-10-05 236.662785 421.418998 801.071738 1762.986930 4698.313654 16415.890285 111987.912239
2025-10-12 229.831766 413.431258 796.310899 1786.822507 4907.715718 18050.119435 138767.670330